Politics: The long-term prospects of the two major parties

A new study -- “Demographic Change and the Future of the Parties” -- argues that, in the long term, electoral advantage belongs to the Democrats. The country is becoming more diverse, the author says -- younger and more educated and less religious, and these trends are all ominous for the GOP. The underlying assumption, though, seems to be that the Democratic Party trolling the waters of the new demographics will be one with an "ambitious agenda in areas such as health care, financial reform, education, energy, and global relations," in other words, one resembling the party of FDR and LBJ. It's hard to imagine, on the other hand, that the party of Bill Clinton and Barack Obama, representing, as it does, Wall Street and international capitalism and the Pentagon, will hold any special appeal to the emerging majority of minorities and Millennials. “Demographic Change and the Future of the Parties” by Ruy Teixeira (The Center for American Progress Action Fund
Read the full report (pdf)
Download the executive summary (pdf)

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